Category 2014 Elections

Graph of RI House Vote Totals

How Did Republicans Gain 5 Seats In The House With The Fewest Votes Ever?

The most fascinating story not yet told in the 2014 elections isn’t the issue of whether or not Healey spoiled Fung’s chances or how the Democrats swept all the statewide races for the first time since 1960. It was that the Republicans gained seats in the RI House of Representatives despite earning their fewest votes since […]

On the Results of the 2014 Elections

Healeymania: In his best showing for Governor of the four times he’s run, Bob Healey won two towns outright and secured an unforeseen 22% of the vote (for a measly $35 of campaign spending). This was not his best showing ever; that remains four years ago in 2010 when the Republicans essentially withdrew to make […]

Mayor Thomas A. Doyle portrait

On the Providence Mayoral Race

I’ve been silent on this since the early part of the primary season, but I thought I’d give my opinions. I don’t understand the desire to get Dan Harrop out of the race from the Democratic perspective. Harrop and Republican-turned-Independent John Scott both received slightly 6000 votes in 2006 and 2010 respectively – about 17.5% […]

Warwick City Hall

The Cities and Towns that Decided the Primary for Fung and Raimondo

Ted Nesi has a good post up about where the majority of the votes for Allan Fung and Gina Raimondo came from. Just a handful of cities and towns make up the majority for each. Both lists give you a good idea of where the majority of votes for each party come from, they’re almost […]

Squirrel Gif

Look! A New Narrative!

If you’re a campaign that has an unpopular platform, the last thing you want to do is talk about issues. Such is the case with the gubernatorial campaign of Allan Fung. The problem for Fung was that as the AFL-CIO Committee on Political Education went into its convention, talk shifted to if the unions would […]

Okay, So A Poll Can’t Predict The Future

One of my 5 takeaways appears to have angered WPRI’s Ted Nesi, specifically the part about the usefulness of public polling. Nesi rightfully calls me out for talking about polls as though they’re predictors of results. This point is well taken, I’m wrong, and I edited my post to include Nesi’s points. And, over the […]

5 Primary Day Takeaways

With mail ballots still being certified, we’re still not at the end of this primary, but we can at least learn a few lessons. So here they are: Strongholds matter. Allan Fung’s triumph over Ken Block in the GOP gubernatorial primary came largely because of Fung’s strength in Cranston. Of the 3,079 votes he currently has […]

Why Turnout Should Be Typical for the RI Primary

I’m seeing some chatter on Twitter suggesting incredulity at the idea of the total turnout for this primary breaking 20% or reaching the Secretary of State’s estimate of roughly 140,000 voters. Actually, that’s about right on the money. Something that helps generate turnout is competition. A competitive election drives coverage, increases the amount of voter contact […]

Foster Town Building

The Very Different Primary Voters of the RI Dems and RI GOP

Tomorrow’s primary is likely to feature two very different electorates. Looking at voters in the last three elections, what immediately leaps out is that the Republicans and the Democrats have very different voters in their worlds. For one thing, cities and towns in the Republican primary tend to carry similar weights, disproportional to their percentage of […]

Daphne and Apollo

Pell and Rhode Island’s Political Shapeshifters

Let me start this out by saying I don’t like Clay Pell as a candidate. I know that should be obvious, but it bears repeating. But the news that he was a registered Republican in Arizona until 2009 and registered Democrat in Rhode Island from 2003 strikes me as an uproar over nothing much. First, […]